General election party choices of registered voters in South Africa 2024

Share of possible party choices of registered voters for the general election in South Africa in 2024

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Release date

February 2024

Region

South Africa

Survey time period

23 October to 1 December, 2023

Number of respondents

3,600 respondents

Age group

18 years and older

Special properties

interviews conducted in the homes and home languages of respondents

Method of interview

Face-to-face interview

Supplementary notes

South African general elections take place once every five years,

Fieldwork for this poll was done prior to the formation of the uMkhonto we Sizwe party by the ex-president Jacob Zuma on 16 December 2023.

Question asked: "If there were National [or Provincial] elections tomorrow, which political party would you vote for?"

The source states the following: "A scientific process of multi-stage stratified random selection distributed interviews in all areas of the county, including deep rural areas. All results were aggregated and then analyzed as described. The margin of error of this study, at a 95% confidence level is plus or minus 0.65. It's crucial to emphasize that these results do note constitute an election prediction. Election predictions can only be made in the final stages leading up to the election. These results include 15% of the electorate who have not aligned themselves with a particular political party, often indicated as "will not vote", "refused to answer", or "don't know". These responses are all valid answers to the questions asked, and delving deeper into this data can provide valuable insights for political parties, to analyze the “undecided vote”. Simply disregarding these responses and reallocating the 15% to other political parties would be comparable to disregarding people's democratic right to make their own choices."

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